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Hillary Can't Win

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From the July 30 Quinnipiac poll:

Jeb Bush: 43% Hillary Clinton: 42%

Hillary Clinton: 44% Scott Walker:  43%

Hillary Clinton: 48% Donal Trump:  36%

Hillary has Trump level favorablity numbers in key states.  She has national name recognition, yet a governor running in a 16 way Republican primary is polling within a point of her.  I know who Scott Walker is, you know who Scott Walker is, how many average Americans have heard of the guy?  She's losing to the only politician in the race with name recognition.  Looking at those numbers, I'd be scared to see her lead over Trump evaporate if he's the Republican nominee.  

If Clinton was a strong candidate she would be putting away Sanders handily, not fighting with him in early states (other than New Hampshire) where people have actually heard of him.  Clinton is a supposedly strong candidate -- who couldn't win the nomination in 2008 and can't seem to seal the deal now.  This does not give me warm fuzzy feelings about her ability to win the general election.

If Clinton in the nominee the base is going to be unenthused. Every nut job on the right is going to be activated and out there telling all of their friends how Hillary set up the US ambassador to Libya.  

Some in the party might worry about running a socialist for president.  Let me point out that in many parts of America socialist and communist has historically meant any candidate that supports civil rights.  The level of victriol is not going to be any more or less if the candidate is actually a socialist, because socialism isn't really what is being talked about.  An actual socialist candidate may be better.  When Sanders' opponent claims his policies are socialism he can simply agree and move on instead of spending time trying to explain why they are not and looking weak for doing so.

The economy simply is not going to be growing at an acceptable rate before the election.  Personally, I suspect this is because man made global climate intensification (please feel free to steal that line) is having a negative effect on economic growth.  This is not an environment to run a candidate with strong connections to the prior administration and to Wall Street.  

I'm sorry Kos, but I just don't think Clinton can win.


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